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MantisPicks
Live // expert football predictions

The market blinks.
We strike.

Free daily football pick, plus premium picks with the strongest audited edge. Every published pick is tracked in public — wins and losses, no cherry-picking.

Win rate

55.1%

ROI

+6.3%

Settled

1337

Avg odds

2.03

Last 7 days +14.38u profit 32W-24L (57.1%) @€100/pick +€1438
Today's strike locked

⚽ Uruguay - Primera Division · Sun 04 Oct, 13:00

Danubio vs Cerro Largo

Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Total Goals

Odds

1.63

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⚡ Sharp value // beats the closing line

Where the price is wrong

Spots where the best bookmaker odds pay more than the market-fair price — genuine +EV. Backtested +8% ROI over 4,000+ picks.

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Value +EV

Argentina - Primera B Nacional

Chaco For Ever v Defensores de Belgrano

Pick

Chaco For Ever

Best odds

2.4

888sport

+EV vs market fair · Sun 04 Oct, 20:00

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Value +EV

Argentina - Primera B Nacional

Central Norte v Racing de Cordoba

Pick

Draw

Best odds

3.25

1xBet

+EV vs market fair · Sun 04 Oct, 20:00

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Value odds ≥ 2.60

Japan J2 League — Regular Season

Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Omiya Ardija

Pick

Draw

Odds

3.81

Match Result · consensus value · Sun 04 Oct, 10:00

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Value odds ≥ 2.60

UEFA - Nations League B

Ukraine v Hungary

Pick

Draw

Odds

3.35

Match Result · consensus value · Mon 05 Oct, 18:45

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Value odds ≥ 2.60

Argentina

Atl. Rafaela v Atletico Atlanta

Pick

Draw

Odds

3.04

Match Result · consensus value · Sun 04 Oct, 20:30

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Value odds ≥ 2.60

Club Friendlies

Hamburger v Copenhagen

Pick

Hamburger Win

Odds

2.63

Match Result · consensus value · Sun 04 Oct, 13:30

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+EV = the best available price beats the market-fair probability. 18+ · odds move — always check before betting.

Predictions

Today's sharpest bets

Our highest-confidence value spots — always free.

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The method

Maths, not hunches.

Every pick is written up by our expert analyst team and only published when the best live book price beats our fair-price view. Every settled result is public — wins and losses.

How we predict →

Track record

Transparent by default

Every settled pick is public — wins and losses. We never delete our losers.

Full record →

55.1%

Win rate

+6.3%

ROI

+83.63u

Profit

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Why MantisPicks

Patience. Precision. Proof.

Expert analyst team

Research-first picks: form, lineups, head-to-head, scheduling. Only published when the live book price beats our fair-price view.

Tracked results

Public win rate, ROI and profit curve. Wins and losses both — nothing quietly deleted.

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Analysis

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